Players rank Deep Water #1: it wins 70.4% of its matchups (n = 253) and took the title in 22 of 97 brackets. Death and Spiders follow. Disagree? Phobia Tier List is one tap away.
Updated hourly · last refreshed November 15, 2026
Share of 97 finished brackets won
Built from win rates across 1,455 picks. Tiers use the win rate steadied toward 50% for entrants with few matchups (S from 75%, A 60%, B 50%, C 40%, D 25%). Steadying pulls a small sample toward the middle, so a high raw rate can sit a tier lower and a low one a tier higher than the rate shown, which is the raw one. What does S tier mean?
Every entrant with its record. Ordered by win rate, steadied for small samples; a rate shows once an entrant has 30 matchups. n is the number of head-to-head matchups behind each rate.
| # | Entrant | W–L | Win rate | Against .500 | Titles | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deep WaterThalassophobia | 178–75 | 70.4% | 22 | 253 | |
| 2 | DeathThanatophobia | 165–77 | 68.2% | 20 | 242 | |
| 3 | SpidersArachnophobia | 134–85 | 61.2% | 12 | 219 | |
| 4 | HeightsAcrophobia | 117–89 | 56.8% | 8 | 206 | |
| 5 | Enclosed SpacesClaustrophobia | 112–94 | 54.4% | 3 | 206 | |
| 6 | SnakesOphidiophobia | 98–91 | 51.9% | 6 | 189 | |
| 7 | InsectsEntomophobia | 98–95 | 50.8% | 2 | 193 | |
| 8 | The DarkNyctophobia | 85–94 | 47.5% | 3 | 179 | |
| 9 | Public SpeakingGlossophobia | 83–93 | 47.2% | 4 | 176 | |
| 10 | ClownsCoulrophobia | 74–93 | 44.3% | 4 | 167 | |
| 11 | Clusters of HolesTrypophobia | 71–94 | 43.0% | 3 | 165 | |
| 12 | BloodHemophobia | 65–95 | 40.6% | 2 | 160 | |
| 13 | Open/Crowded SpacesAgoraphobia | 56–94 | 37.3% | 3 | 150 | |
| 14 | DogsCynophobia | 45–94 | 32.4% | 3 | 139 | |
| 15 | FlyingAerophobia | 38–96 | 28.4% | 1 | 134 | |
| 16 | Thunder & LightningAstraphobia | 36–96 | 27.3% | 1 | 132 |
Pairs the crowd can barely split. Estimated from each entrant's overall record until the pair has met 20 times.
Patterns in 97 finished brackets.
Upsets need real meetings: a pair shows here once it has met 10 times and the weaker record leads.
Deep Water. It wins 70.4% of its head-to-head matchups (n = 253) and took the title in 22 of 97 finished brackets.
Every pick in a finished bracket is a win for one entrant and a loss for the other. Entrants are ordered by win rate, steadied toward 50% by ten imaginary matchups so that a newcomer with a 3–0 record can't top the table. The rate shown is the real one, with n, the number of matchups behind it.
Draws are shuffled, so a title can come from an easy path. Win rate counts every matchup an entrant played, which is a fairer read of how people feel about it. Title odds are shown too, as the share of finished brackets each entrant won.
97 finished brackets so far, with 1,455 head-to-head picks between them. Only finished brackets count.
Yes. Play the bracket at 8, 16 entrants, free and with no sign-up. You get your own ranking and a link to share, and your picks join this page.
About every hour, as new brackets are finished.
Pick a winner in every matchup and see where you agree with 97 players, and where you don't.