All 16 Holidays, ranked by 72 players
Players rank Christmas #1: it wins 87.3% of its matchups (n = 244) and took the title in 41 of 72 brackets. Halloween and New Year's Eve/Day follow. Disagree? Holidays Ranked is one tap away.
Updated hourly · last refreshed November 15, 2026
Brackets finished72
Head-to-head picks1,056
Entrants ranked16of 16
Christmas title share56.9%n = 72
Title odds
Share of 72 finished brackets won
- Christmas56.9% (41 of 72)
- Halloween18.1% (13 of 72)
- New Year's Eve/Day11.1% (8 of 72)
- 4th of July4.2% (3 of 72)
- Thanksgiving2.8% (2 of 72)
- Mother's Day1.4% (1 of 72)
Holidays: the community tier list
Built from win rates across 1,056 picks. Tiers use the win rate steadied toward 50% for entrants with few matchups (S from 75%, A 60%, B 50%, C 40%, D 25%). Steadying pulls a small sample toward the middle, so a high raw rate can sit a tier lower and a low one a tier higher than the rate shown, which is the raw one. What does S tier mean?
Stier, win rate 75% or more
- Christmas87.3%
Atier, win rate 60% or more
- Halloween71.8%
- New Year's Eve/Day64.9%
Btier, win rate 50% or more
- Thanksgiving56.8%
- 4th of July56.1%
- Easter50.4%
Ctier, win rate 40% or more
- Mother's Day45.8%
- Valentine's Day44.5%
Dtier, win rate 25% or more
- Memorial Day34.3%
- St. Patrick's Day33.7%
- Father's Day32.7%
- Black Friday31.1%
- Cinco de Mayo26.6%
- Mardi Gras25.0%
Ftier, win rate 0% or more
- Labor Day21.8%
- Groundhog Day15.3%
Standings
Every entrant with its record. Ordered by win rate, steadied for small samples; a rate shows once an entrant has 30 matchups. n is the number of head-to-head matchups behind each rate.
| # | Entrant | W–L | Win rate | Against .500 | Titles | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ChristmasDecember 25 | 213–31 | 87.3% | 41 | 244 | |
| 2 | HalloweenOctober 31 | 150–59 | 71.8% | 13 | 209 | |
| 3 | 113–61 | 64.9% | 8 | 174 | ||
| 4 | Thanksgiving4th Thursday in November | 88–67 | 56.8% | 2 | 155 | |
| 5 | 4th of JulyJuly 4 | 88–69 | 56.1% | 3 | 157 | |
| 6 | 70–69 | 50.4% | 0 | 139 | ||
| 7 | 60–71 | 45.8% | 1 | 131 | ||
| 8 | 57–71 | 44.5% | 1 | 128 | ||
| 9 | Memorial DayLast Monday in May | 36–69 | 34.3% | 0 | 105 | |
| 10 | 35–69 | 33.7% | 0 | 104 | ||
| 11 | 33–68 | 32.7% | 1 | 101 | ||
| 12 | Black FridayDay after Thanksgiving | 32–71 | 31.1% | 1 | 103 | |
| 13 | 25–69 | 26.6% | 0 | 94 | ||
| 14 | Mardi GrasBefore Lent | 24–72 | 25.0% | 0 | 96 | |
| 15 | Labor Day1st Monday in September | 19–68 | 21.8% | 1 | 87 | |
| 16 | Groundhog DayFebruary 2 | 13–72 | 15.3% | 0 | 85 |
Closest rivalries
Pairs the crowd can barely split. Estimated from each entrant's overall record until the pair has met 20 times.
- Memorial DayvsSt. Patrick's Day51–49 · estimate from overall records
- Thanksgivingvs4th of July51–49 · estimate from overall records
- St. Patrick's DayvsFather's Day51–49 · estimate from overall records
Most lopsided
- ChristmasvsGroundhog Day96–4 · estimate from overall records
- HalloweenvsGroundhog Day91–9 · estimate from overall records
- New Year's Eve/DayvsGroundhog Day88–12 · estimate from overall records
Upsets and oddities
Patterns in 72 finished brackets.
- UntouchableChristmas wins 87.3%The best record in the field (n = 244 matchups).
- ClutchLabor Day: 1 titlesOnly #15 on win rate, but #10 for championships.
- Always the bridesmaidEaster: 50.4% win rate#6 on record, but only 0 titles in 72 brackets.
Upsets need real meetings: a pair shows here once it has met 10 times and the weaker record leads.
Questions people ask
What is #1 in the Holidays community ranking?
Christmas. It wins 87.3% of its head-to-head matchups (n = 244) and took the title in 41 of 72 finished brackets.
How is the ranking worked out?
Every pick in a finished bracket is a win for one entrant and a loss for the other. Entrants are ordered by win rate, steadied toward 50% by ten imaginary matchups so that a newcomer with a 3–0 record can't top the table. The rate shown is the real one, with n, the number of matchups behind it.
Why win rate and not titles?
Draws are shuffled, so a title can come from an easy path. Win rate counts every matchup an entrant played, which is a fairer read of how people feel about it. Title odds are shown too, as the share of finished brackets each entrant won.
How many people have ranked Holidays?
72 finished brackets so far, with 1,056 head-to-head picks between them. Only finished brackets count.
Can I rank all 16 myself?
Yes. Play the bracket at 8, 16 entrants, free and with no sign-up. You get your own ranking and a link to share, and your picks join this page.
How often does this page update?
About every hour, as new brackets are finished.
More brackets
Your turn: is the crowd right?
Pick a winner in every matchup and see where you agree with 72 players, and where you don't.