Players rank San Francisco 49ers #1: it wins 74.8% of its matchups (n = 476) and took the title in 34 of 170 brackets. Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs follow. Disagree? NFL Tier List is one tap away.
Updated hourly · last refreshed November 15, 2026
Share of 170 finished brackets won
Built from win rates across 4,406 picks. Tiers use the win rate steadied toward 50% for entrants with few matchups (S from 75%, A 60%, B 50%, C 40%, D 25%). Steadying pulls a small sample toward the middle, so a high raw rate can sit a tier lower and a low one a tier higher than the rate shown, which is the raw one. What does S tier mean?
Every entrant with its record. Ordered by win rate, steadied for small samples; a rate shows once an entrant has 30 matchups. n is the number of head-to-head matchups behind each rate.
| # | Contender | W–L | Win rate | Against .500 | Titles | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersNFC West | 356–120 | 74.8% | 34 | 476 | |
| 2 | Buffalo BillsAFC East | 308–120 | 72.0% | 23 | 428 | |
| 3 | Kansas City ChiefsAFC West | 258–135 | 65.6% | 12 | 393 | |
| 4 | Seattle SeahawksNFC West | 258–138 | 65.2% | 11 | 396 | |
| 5 | Los Angeles RamsNFC West | 192–127 | 60.2% | 10 | 319 | |
| 6 | Chicago BearsNFC North | 185–130 | 58.7% | 10 | 315 | |
| 7 | Detroit LionsNFC North | 185–132 | 58.4% | 8 | 317 | |
| 8 | Minnesota VikingsNFC North | 186–134 | 58.1% | 8 | 320 | |
| 9 | Philadelphia EaglesNFC East | 157–121 | 56.5% | 11 | 278 | |
| 10 | Baltimore RavensAFC North | 162–138 | 54.0% | 1 | 300 | |
| 11 | New England PatriotsAFC East | 155–139 | 52.7% | 6 | 294 | |
| 12 | Green Bay PackersNFC North | 144–130 | 52.6% | 7 | 274 | |
| 13 | Cincinnati BengalsAFC North | 146–140 | 51.0% | 4 | 286 | |
| 14 | Denver BroncosAFC West | 150–146 | 50.7% | 1 | 296 | |
| 15 | Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South | 133–131 | 50.4% | 1 | 264 | |
| 16 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersNFC South | 127–143 | 47.0% | 4 | 270 | |
| 17 | Carolina PanthersNFC South | 115–139 | 45.3% | 3 | 254 | |
| 18 | Pittsburgh SteelersAFC North | 105–133 | 44.1% | 1 | 238 | |
| 19 | Houston TexansAFC South | 117–150 | 43.8% | 0 | 267 | |
| 20 | Dallas CowboysNFC East | 109–152 | 41.8% | 1 | 261 | |
| 21 | Las Vegas RaidersAFC West | 93–146 | 38.9% | 1 | 239 | |
| 22 | Cleveland BrownsAFC North | 83–140 | 37.2% | 2 | 223 | |
| 23 | Atlanta FalconsNFC South | 84–143 | 37.0% | 1 | 227 | |
| 24 | Indianapolis ColtsAFC South | 85–147 | 36.6% | 1 | 232 | |
| 25 | New York GiantsNFC East | 78–138 | 36.1% | 0 | 216 | |
| 26 | New Orleans SaintsNFC South | 80–147 | 35.2% | 2 | 227 | |
| 27 | Los Angeles ChargersAFC West | 72–141 | 33.8% | 1 | 213 | |
| 28 | Washington CommandersNFC East | 68–146 | 31.8% | 2 | 214 | |
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsNFC West | 58–134 | 30.2% | 1 | 192 | |
| 30 | Miami DolphinsAFC East | 54–134 | 28.7% | 2 | 188 | |
| 31 | New York JetsAFC East | 53–143 | 27.0% | 1 | 196 | |
| 32 | Tennessee TitansAFC South | 50–149 | 25.1% | 0 | 199 |
Pairs the crowd can barely split. Estimated from each entrant's overall record until the pair has met 20 times.
Patterns in 170 finished brackets.
San Francisco 49ers. It wins 74.8% of its head-to-head matchups (n = 476) and took the title in 34 of 170 finished brackets.
Every pick in a finished bracket is a win for one entrant and a loss for the other. Entrants are ordered by win rate, steadied toward 50% by ten imaginary matchups so that a newcomer with a 3–0 record can't top the table. The rate shown is the real one, with n, the number of matchups behind it.
Draws are shuffled, so a title can come from an easy path. Win rate counts every matchup an entrant played, which is a fairer read of how people feel about it. Title odds are shown too, as the share of finished brackets each entrant won.
170 finished brackets so far, with 4,406 head-to-head picks between them. Only finished brackets count.
Yes. Play the bracket at 8, 16, 32 entrants, free and with no sign-up. You get your own ranking and a link to share, and your picks join this page.
About every hour, as new brackets are finished.
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