All 40 2020s Hits, ranked by 117 players
Players rank Blinding Lights #1: it wins 65.5% of its matchups (n = 255) and took the title in 11 of 117 brackets. Save Your Tears and Not Like Us follow. Disagree? Best 2020s Songs Ranked is one tap away.
Updated hourly · last refreshed November 15, 2026
Brackets finished117
Head-to-head picks3,115
Entrants ranked40of 40
Blinding Lights title share9.4%n = 117
Title odds
Share of 117 finished brackets won
- Blinding Lights9.4% (11 of 117)
- Not Like Us8.5% (10 of 117)
- Bad Habit8.5% (10 of 117)
- Save Your Tears7.7% (9 of 117)
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER7.7% (9 of 117)
- Espresso7.7% (9 of 117)
2020s Hits: the community tier list
Built from win rates across 3,115 picks. Tiers use the win rate steadied toward 50% for entrants with few matchups (S from 75%, A 60%, B 50%, C 40%, D 25%). Steadying pulls a small sample toward the middle, so a high raw rate can sit a tier lower and a low one a tier higher than the rate shown, which is the raw one. What does S tier mean?
Stier, win rate 75% or more
- Nobody yet
Atier, win rate 60% or more
- Blinding Lights65.5%
- Save Your Tears65.5%
- Not Like Us64.8%
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER63.8%
Btier, win rate 50% or more
- Espresso60.1%
- Bad Habit59.8%
- As It Was57.5%
- Levitating56.7%
- Kill Bill54.7%
- Stay54.3%
- good 4 u52.5%
- drivers license52.0%
- deja vu52.0%
- luther12–11
- vampire50.8%
- Heat Waves50.3%
- MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name)50.3%
Ctier, win rate 40% or more
- Kiss Me More49.0%
- INDUSTRY BABY48.9%
- Please Please Please48.5%
- Lose Control9–10
- Flowers47.5%
- Paint the Town Red46.4%
- Die With a Smile7–9
- APT.45.7%
- Choosin' Texas5–7
- Watermelon Sugar43.9%
- Peaches42.2%
- A Bar Song (Tipsy)9–15
- Greedy40.6%
Dtier, win rate 25% or more
- Cruel Summer39.0%
- Ordinary4–9
- Dynamite36.2%
- Last Night35.3%
- Butter33.6%
- Anti-Hero29.8%
- About Damn Time29.7%
- Unholy24.8%
Ftier, win rate 0% or more
- The Fate of Ophelia0–16
n<10Fewer than 10 matchups: not enough to place
- Golden9 matchups
Standings
Every entrant with its record. Ordered by win rate, steadied for small samples; a rate shows once an entrant has 30 matchups. n is the number of head-to-head matchups behind each rate.
| # | Entry | W–L | Win rate | Against .500 | Titles | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blinding LightsThe Weeknd | 167–88 | 65.5% | 11 | 255 | |
| 2 | Save Your TearsThe Weeknd | 165–87 | 65.5% | 9 | 252 | |
| 3 | Not Like UsKendrick Lamar | 169–92 | 64.8% | 10 | 261 | |
| 4 | BIRDS OF A FEATHERBillie Eilish | 150–85 | 63.8% | 9 | 235 | |
| 5 | EspressoSabrina Carpenter | 137–91 | 60.1% | 9 | 228 | |
| 6 | Bad HabitSteve Lacy | 122–82 | 59.8% | 10 | 204 | |
| 7 | As It WasHarry Styles | 122–90 | 57.5% | 5 | 212 | |
| 8 | LevitatingDua Lipa | 122–93 | 56.7% | 2 | 215 | |
| 9 | Kill BillSZA | 117–97 | 54.7% | 2 | 214 | |
| 10 | StayThe Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber | 108–91 | 54.3% | 6 | 199 | |
| 11 | good 4 uOlivia Rodrigo | 106–96 | 52.5% | 8 | 202 | |
| 12 | drivers licenseOlivia Rodrigo | 102–94 | 52.0% | 3 | 196 | |
| 13 | deja vuOlivia Rodrigo | 105–97 | 52.0% | 3 | 202 | |
| 14 | lutherKendrick Lamar & SZA | 12–11 | – | 2 | 23 | |
| 15 | vampireOlivia Rodrigo | 98–95 | 50.8% | 4 | 193 | |
| 16 | Heat WavesGlass Animals | 92–91 | 50.3% | 2 | 183 | |
| 17 | MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name)Lil Nas X | 99–98 | 50.3% | 1 | 197 | |
| 18 | Kiss Me MoreDoja Cat ft. SZA | 98–102 | 49.0% | 1 | 200 | |
| 19 | INDUSTRY BABYLil Nas X & Jack Harlow | 89–93 | 48.9% | 2 | 182 | |
| 20 | Please Please PleaseSabrina Carpenter | 98–104 | 48.5% | 2 | 202 | |
| 21 | Lose ControlTeddy Swims | 9–10 | – | 1 | 19 | |
| 22 | FlowersMiley Cyrus | 84–93 | 47.5% | 2 | 177 | |
| 23 | Paint the Town RedDoja Cat | 84–97 | 46.4% | 2 | 181 | |
| 24 | Die With a SmileLady Gaga & Bruno Mars | 7–9 | – | 0 | 16 | |
| 25 | APT.Rose & Bruno Mars | 75–89 | 45.7% | 3 | 164 | |
| 26 | Choosin' TexasElla Langley | 5–7 | – | 0 | 12 | |
| 27 | Watermelon SugarHarry Styles | 79–101 | 43.9% | 1 | 180 | |
| 28 | PeachesJustin Bieber | 73–100 | 42.2% | 2 | 173 | |
| 29 | GoldenHUNTR/X | 3–6 | – | 0 | 9 | |
| 30 | A Bar Song (Tipsy)Shaboozey | 9–15 | – | 0 | 24 | |
| 31 | GreedyTate McRae | 67–98 | 40.6% | 0 | 165 | |
| 32 | Cruel SummerTaylor Swift | 62–97 | 39.0% | 1 | 159 | |
| 33 | OrdinaryAlex Warren | 4–9 | – | 0 | 13 | |
| 34 | DynamiteBTS | 59–104 | 36.2% | 0 | 163 | |
| 35 | Last NightMorgan Wallen | 53–97 | 35.3% | 2 | 150 | |
| 36 | ButterBTS | 49–97 | 33.6% | 1 | 146 | |
| 37 | Anti-HeroTaylor Swift | 42–99 | 29.8% | 0 | 141 | |
| 38 | About Damn TimeLizzo | 41–97 | 29.7% | 0 | 138 | |
| 39 | UnholySam Smith & Kim Petras | 32–97 | 24.8% | 1 | 129 | |
| 40 | The Fate of OpheliaTaylor Swift | 0–16 | – | 0 | 16 |
Closest rivalries
Pairs the crowd can barely split. Estimated from each entrant's overall record until the pair has met 20 times.
- Blinding LightsvsSave Your Tears50–50 · estimate from overall records
- EspressovsBad Habit50–50 · estimate from overall records
- Kill BillvsStay50–50 · estimate from overall records
Most lopsided
- Blinding LightsvsUnholy84–16 · estimate from overall records
- Save Your TearsvsUnholy84–16 · estimate from overall records
- Not Like UsvsUnholy83–17 · estimate from overall records
Upsets and oddities
Patterns in 117 finished brackets.
- UntouchableBlinding Lights wins 65.5%The best record in the field (n = 255 matchups).
- ClutchLast Night: 2 titlesOnly #35 on win rate, but #23 for championships.
- Still waitingGreedy: no titles yetWins 40.6% of its matchups (n = 165) and has never been crowned.
Upsets need real meetings: a pair shows here once it has met 10 times and the weaker record leads.
Questions people ask
What is #1 in the 2020s Hits community ranking?
Blinding Lights. It wins 65.5% of its head-to-head matchups (n = 255) and took the title in 11 of 117 finished brackets.
How is the ranking worked out?
Every pick in a finished bracket is a win for one entrant and a loss for the other. Entrants are ordered by win rate, steadied toward 50% by ten imaginary matchups so that a newcomer with a 3–0 record can't top the table. The rate shown is the real one, with n, the number of matchups behind it.
Why win rate and not titles?
Draws are shuffled, so a title can come from an easy path. Win rate counts every matchup an entrant played, which is a fairer read of how people feel about it. Title odds are shown too, as the share of finished brackets each entrant won.
How many people have ranked 2020s Hits?
117 finished brackets so far, with 3,115 head-to-head picks between them. Only finished brackets count.
Can I rank all 40 myself?
Yes. Play the bracket at 8, 16, 32, 40 entrants, free and with no sign-up. You get your own ranking and a link to share, and your picks join this page.
How often does this page update?
About every hour, as new brackets are finished.
More brackets
Your turn: is the crowd right?
Pick a winner in every matchup and see where you agree with 117 players, and where you don't.