Oscar Best Picture, ranked by 68 players
Players rank No Country for Old Men #1: it wins 76.3% of its matchups (n = 177) and took the title in 15 of 68 brackets. Parasite and Oppenheimer follow. Disagree? Best Picture Winners Ranked by Fans is one tap away.
Updated hourly · last refreshed November 15, 2026
Brackets finished68
Head-to-head picks1,838
Entrants ranked34of 34
No Country for Old Men title share22.1%n = 68
Title odds
Share of 68 finished brackets won
- No Country for Old Men22.1% (15 of 68)
- Parasite14.7% (10 of 68)
- Oppenheimer10.3% (7 of 68)
- The Departed7.4% (5 of 68)
- La La Land7.4% (5 of 68)
- Everything Everywhere All at Once5.9% (4 of 68)
Oscar Best Picture: the community tier list
Built from win rates across 1,838 picks. Tiers use the win rate steadied toward 50% for entrants with few matchups (S from 75%, A 60%, B 50%, C 40%, D 25%). Steadying pulls a small sample toward the middle, so a high raw rate can sit a tier lower and a low one a tier higher than the rate shown, which is the raw one. What does S tier mean?
Stier, win rate 75% or more
- Nobody yet
Atier, win rate 60% or more
- No Country for Old Men76.3%
- Parasite72.7%
- Oppenheimer69.8%
- The Departed66.7%
- Joker63.5%
- La La Land63.3%
- Everything Everywhere All at Once61.4%
Btier, win rate 50% or more
- 191758.3%
- Birdman56.6%
- Barbie56.3%
- 12 Years a Slave56.2%
- Green Book56.2%
- Moonlight53.1%
- Slumdog Millionaire12–11
Ctier, win rate 40% or more
- The Holdovers45.8%
- Anora45.0%
- One Battle After Another8–11
- Killers of the Flower Moon42.3%
- Anatomy of a Fall41.2%
- The King's Speech39.4%
Dtier, win rate 25% or more
- The Zone of Interest38.8%
- Past Lives37.2%
- Tar36.2%
- The Hurt Locker36.1%
- The Power of the Dog35.7%
- The Shape of Water35.5%
- Argo35.1%
- The Fabelmans33.7%
- American Fiction33.3%
- Spotlight31.3%
- Nomadland27.8%
- CODA26.9%
- The Artist22.2%
Ftier, win rate 0% or more
- Maestro14.7%
Standings
Every entrant with its record. Ordered by win rate, steadied for small samples; a rate shows once an entrant has 30 matchups. n is the number of head-to-head matchups behind each rate.
| # | Film | W–L | Win rate | Against .500 | Titles | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No Country for Old Men2008 Winner | 135–42 | 76.3% | 15 | 177 | |
| 2 | Parasite2020 Winner | 128–48 | 72.7% | 10 | 176 | |
| 3 | Oppenheimer2024 Winner | 118–51 | 69.8% | 7 | 169 | |
| 4 | The Departed2007 Winner | 102–51 | 66.7% | 5 | 153 | |
| 5 | Joker2020 Nominee | 101–58 | 63.5% | 2 | 159 | |
| 6 | La La Land2017 Nominee | 95–55 | 63.3% | 5 | 150 | |
| 7 | Everything Everywhere All at Once2023 Winner | 86–54 | 61.4% | 4 | 140 | |
| 8 | 19172020 Nominee | 84–60 | 58.3% | 1 | 144 | |
| 9 | Birdman2015 Winner | 81–62 | 56.6% | 3 | 143 | |
| 10 | Barbie2024 Nominee | 67–52 | 56.3% | 4 | 119 | |
| 11 | 12 Years a Slave2014 Winner | 73–57 | 56.2% | 1 | 130 | |
| 12 | Green Book2019 Winner | 73–57 | 56.2% | 4 | 130 | |
| 13 | Moonlight2017 Winner | 69–61 | 53.1% | 2 | 130 | |
| 14 | Slumdog Millionaire2009 Winner | 12–11 | – | 1 | 23 | |
| 15 | The Holdovers2024 Nominee | 44–52 | 45.8% | 0 | 96 | |
| 16 | Anora2025 Winner | 45–55 | 45.0% | 0 | 100 | |
| 17 | One Battle After Another2026 Winner | 8–11 | – | 0 | 19 | |
| 18 | Killers of the Flower Moon2024 Nominee | 41–56 | 42.3% | 0 | 97 | |
| 19 | Anatomy of a Fall2024 Nominee | 42–60 | 41.2% | 0 | 102 | |
| 20 | The King's Speech2011 Winner | 37–57 | 39.4% | 0 | 94 | |
| 21 | The Zone of Interest2024 Nominee | 38–60 | 38.8% | 2 | 98 | |
| 22 | Past Lives2024 Nominee | 35–59 | 37.2% | 0 | 94 | |
| 23 | Tar2023 Nominee | 34–60 | 36.2% | 1 | 94 | |
| 24 | The Hurt Locker2010 Winner | 35–62 | 36.1% | 0 | 97 | |
| 25 | The Power of the Dog2022 Nominee | 30–54 | 35.7% | 0 | 84 | |
| 26 | The Shape of Water2018 Winner | 33–60 | 35.5% | 0 | 93 | |
| 27 | Argo2013 Winner | 33–61 | 35.1% | 0 | 94 | |
| 28 | The Fabelmans2023 Nominee | 33–65 | 33.7% | 0 | 98 | |
| 29 | American Fiction2024 Nominee | 31–62 | 33.3% | 0 | 93 | |
| 30 | Spotlight2016 Winner | 26–57 | 31.3% | 0 | 83 | |
| 31 | Nomadland2021 Winner | 22–57 | 27.8% | 0 | 79 | |
| 32 | CODA2022 Winner | 21–57 | 26.9% | 1 | 78 | |
| 33 | The Artist2012 Winner | 16–56 | 22.2% | 0 | 72 | |
| 34 | Maestro2024 Nominee | 10–58 | 14.7% | 0 | 68 |
Closest rivalries
Pairs the crowd can barely split. Estimated from each entrant's overall record until the pair has met 20 times.
- 12 Years a SlavevsGreen Book50–50 · estimate from overall records
- Barbievs12 Years a Slave50–50 · estimate from overall records
- BarbievsGreen Book50–50 · estimate from overall records
Most lopsided
- No Country for Old MenvsMaestro93–7 · estimate from overall records
- ParasitevsMaestro91–9 · estimate from overall records
- OppenheimervsMaestro90–10 · estimate from overall records
Upsets and oddities
Patterns in 68 finished brackets.
- UntouchableNo Country for Old Men wins 76.3%The best record in the field (n = 177 matchups).
- ClutchCODA: 1 titlesOnly #32 on win rate, but #17 for championships.
- Always the bridesmaidJoker: 63.5% win rate#5 on record, but only 2 titles in 68 brackets.
- Still waitingThe Holdovers: no titles yetWins 45.8% of its matchups (n = 96) and has never been crowned.
Upsets need real meetings: a pair shows here once it has met 10 times and the weaker record leads.
Questions people ask
What is #1 in the Oscar Best Picture community ranking?
No Country for Old Men. It wins 76.3% of its head-to-head matchups (n = 177) and took the title in 15 of 68 finished brackets.
How is the ranking worked out?
Every pick in a finished bracket is a win for one entrant and a loss for the other. Entrants are ordered by win rate, steadied toward 50% by ten imaginary matchups so that a newcomer with a 3–0 record can't top the table. The rate shown is the real one, with n, the number of matchups behind it.
Why win rate and not titles?
Draws are shuffled, so a title can come from an easy path. Win rate counts every matchup an entrant played, which is a fairer read of how people feel about it. Title odds are shown too, as the share of finished brackets each entrant won.
How many people have ranked Oscar Best Picture?
68 finished brackets so far, with 1,838 head-to-head picks between them. Only finished brackets count.
Can I rank all 34 myself?
Yes. Play the bracket at 8, 16, 32, 34 entrants, free and with no sign-up. You get your own ranking and a link to share, and your picks join this page.
How often does this page update?
About every hour, as new brackets are finished.
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Your turn: is the crowd right?
Pick a winner in every matchup and see where you agree with 68 players, and where you don't.