Players rank Home Alone #1: it wins 77.5% of its matchups (n = 276) and took the title in 18 of 89 brackets. How the Grinch Stole Christmas and Elf follow. Disagree? Christmas Movie Bracket is one tap away.
Updated hourly · last refreshed November 15, 2026
Share of 89 finished brackets won
Built from win rates across 1,823 picks. Tiers use the win rate steadied toward 50% for entrants with few matchups (S from 75%, A 60%, B 50%, C 40%, D 25%). Steadying pulls a small sample toward the middle, so a high raw rate can sit a tier lower and a low one a tier higher than the rate shown, which is the raw one. What does S tier mean?

















Every entrant with its record. Ordered by win rate, steadied for small samples; a rate shows once an entrant has 30 matchups. n is the number of head-to-head matchups behind each rate.
| # | Film | W–L | Win rate | Against .500 | Titles | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Home Alone1990 | 214–62 | 77.5% | 18 | 276 | |
| 2 | How the Grinch Stole Christmas2000 | 143–71 | 66.8% | 10 | 214 | |
| 3 | Elf2003 | 136–73 | 65.1% | 8 | 209 | |
| 4 | The Polar Express2004 | 116–71 | 62.0% | 8 | 187 | |
| 5 | Home Alone 2: Lost in New York1992 | 127–80 | 61.4% | 6 | 207 | |
| 6 | The Nightmare Before Christmas1993 | 114–75 | 60.3% | 6 | 189 | |
| 7 | National Lampoon's Christmas Vacation1989 | 100–75 | 57.1% | 6 | 175 | |
| 8 | The Santa Clause1994 | 91–72 | 55.8% | 3 | 163 | |
| 9 | The Muppet Christmas Carol1992 | 71–73 | 49.3% | 3 | 144 | |
| 10 | A Charlie Brown Christmas1965 | 71–79 | 47.3% | 1 | 150 | |
| 11 | A Christmas Story1983 | 68–77 | 46.9% | 5 | 145 | |
| 12 | Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer1964 | 66–78 | 45.8% | 2 | 144 | |
| 13 | Die Hard1988 | 65–81 | 44.5% | 3 | 146 | |
| 14 | A Christmas Carol2009 | 59–81 | 42.1% | 0 | 140 | |
| 15 | Gremlins1984 | 55–78 | 41.4% | 1 | 133 | |
| 16 | Jingle All the Way1996 | 53–77 | 40.8% | 0 | 130 | |
| 17 | It's a Wonderful Life1946 | 48–76 | 38.7% | 2 | 124 | |
| 18 | Klaus2019 | 46–77 | 37.4% | 2 | 123 | |
| 19 | The Holiday2006 | 37–73 | 33.6% | 3 | 110 | |
| 20 | Scrooged1988 | 35–74 | 32.1% | 0 | 109 | |
| 21 | Miracle on 34th Street1947 | 32–79 | 28.8% | 1 | 111 | |
| 22 | Love Actually2003 | 30–80 | 27.3% | 1 | 110 | |
| 23 | White Christmas1954 | 27–84 | 24.3% | 0 | 111 | |
| 24 | Bad Santa2003 | 19–77 | 19.8% | 0 | 96 |
Pairs the crowd can barely split. Estimated from each entrant's overall record until the pair has met 20 times.
Patterns in 89 finished brackets.
Upsets need real meetings: a pair shows here once it has met 10 times and the weaker record leads.
Home Alone. It wins 77.5% of its head-to-head matchups (n = 276) and took the title in 18 of 89 finished brackets.
Every pick in a finished bracket is a win for one entrant and a loss for the other. Entrants are ordered by win rate, steadied toward 50% by ten imaginary matchups so that a newcomer with a 3–0 record can't top the table. The rate shown is the real one, with n, the number of matchups behind it.
Draws are shuffled, so a title can come from an easy path. Win rate counts every matchup an entrant played, which is a fairer read of how people feel about it. Title odds are shown too, as the share of finished brackets each entrant won.
89 finished brackets so far, with 1,823 head-to-head picks between them. Only finished brackets count.
Yes. Play the bracket at 8, 16, 24 entrants, free and with no sign-up. You get your own ranking and a link to share, and your picks join this page.
About every hour, as new brackets are finished.
Pick a winner in every matchup and see where you agree with 89 players, and where you don't.