Players rank Brownies #1: it wins 71.2% of its matchups (n = 372) and took the title in 21 of 141 brackets. Molten Lava Cake and Chocolate Chip Cookies follow. Disagree? Dessert Tier List is one tap away.
Updated hourly · last refreshed November 15, 2026
Share of 141 finished brackets won
Built from win rates across 2,787 picks. Tiers use the win rate steadied toward 50% for entrants with few matchups (S from 75%, A 60%, B 50%, C 40%, D 25%). Steadying pulls a small sample toward the middle, so a high raw rate can sit a tier lower and a low one a tier higher than the rate shown, which is the raw one. What does S tier mean?
Every entrant with its record. Ordered by win rate, steadied for small samples; a rate shows once an entrant has 30 matchups. n is the number of head-to-head matchups behind each rate.
| # | Choice | W–L | Win rate | Against .500 | Titles | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BrowniesFudgy chocolate squares | 265–107 | 71.2% | 21 | 372 | |
| 2 | Molten Lava CakeOozing chocolate center | 218–105 | 67.5% | 21 | 323 | |
| 3 | Chocolate Chip CookiesWarm & gooey | 214–106 | 66.9% | 13 | 320 | |
| 4 | TiramisuCoffee-soaked Italian | 196–108 | 64.5% | 18 | 304 | |
| 5 | CheesecakeCreamy & rich | 174–112 | 60.8% | 14 | 286 | |
| 6 | Ice Cream SundaeTopped & loaded | 164–124 | 56.9% | 7 | 288 | |
| 7 | Chocolate CakeRich & decadent | 145–112 | 56.4% | 6 | 257 | |
| 8 | ChurrosFried & cinnamon-sugar | 135–122 | 52.5% | 3 | 257 | |
| 9 | 126–115 | 52.3% | 1 | 241 | ||
| 10 | Apple PieAmerican classic | 118–113 | 51.1% | 4 | 231 | |
| 11 | Tres Leches CakeThree-milk soaked cake | 110–111 | 49.8% | 7 | 221 | |
| 12 | Red Velvet CakeCream cheese frosting | 111–122 | 47.6% | 3 | 233 | |
| 13 | Carrot CakeSpiced & frosted | 100–124 | 44.6% | 4 | 224 | |
| 14 | MacaronsFrench meringue cookies | 98–122 | 44.5% | 2 | 220 | |
| 15 | CannoliItalian filled pastry | 90–120 | 42.9% | 0 | 210 | |
| 16 | Creme BruleeCaramelized custard | 88–120 | 42.3% | 2 | 208 | |
| 17 | Banana SplitThree scoops classic | 79–129 | 38.0% | 1 | 208 | |
| 18 | Key Lime PieTart & tangy | 69–120 | 36.5% | 2 | 189 | |
| 19 | Banana PuddingSouthern layered dessert | 57–104 | 35.4% | 1 | 161 | |
| 20 | 63–125 | 33.5% | 4 | 188 | ||
| 21 | BaklavaLayered filo & nuts | 55–116 | 32.2% | 2 | 171 | |
| 22 | Pecan PieNutty & sweet | 43–114 | 27.4% | 3 | 157 | |
| 23 | Panna CottaItalian cream dessert | 37–112 | 24.8% | 2 | 149 | |
| 24 | Bread PuddingWarm & custardy | 32–124 | 20.5% | 0 | 156 |
Pairs the crowd can barely split. Estimated from each entrant's overall record until the pair has met 20 times.
Patterns in 141 finished brackets.
Upsets need real meetings: a pair shows here once it has met 10 times and the weaker record leads.
Brownies. It wins 71.2% of its head-to-head matchups (n = 372) and took the title in 21 of 141 finished brackets.
Every pick in a finished bracket is a win for one entrant and a loss for the other. Entrants are ordered by win rate, steadied toward 50% by ten imaginary matchups so that a newcomer with a 3–0 record can't top the table. The rate shown is the real one, with n, the number of matchups behind it.
Draws are shuffled, so a title can come from an easy path. Win rate counts every matchup an entrant played, which is a fairer read of how people feel about it. Title odds are shown too, as the share of finished brackets each entrant won.
141 finished brackets so far, with 2,787 head-to-head picks between them. Only finished brackets count.
Yes. Play the bracket at 8, 16, 24 entrants, free and with no sign-up. You get your own ranking and a link to share, and your picks join this page.
About every hour, as new brackets are finished.
Pick a winner in every matchup and see where you agree with 141 players, and where you don't.